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Tartar M, Sepehrdoust H, Gholizadeh A A. Impact of Economic Complexity and Political, Economic, Financial Risk Shock on Income Gap; Application of PVAR Model. jemr 2021; 12 (45) : 1
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2237-fa.html
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2237-fa.html
تارتار محسن، سپهردوست حمید، قلی زاده علی اکبر. بررسی اثرات شوک پیچیدگی اقتصادی و ریسکهای سیاسی، اقتصادی، مالی بر شکاف درآمدی؛ کاربرد مدل PVAR. تحقیقات مدلسازی اقتصادی. 1400; 12 (45) :7-52
1- دانشگاه بوعلی سینا
2- دانشگاه بوعلی سینا ،hamidbasu1340@gmail.com
2- دانشگاه بوعلی سینا ،
چکیده: (3329 مشاهده)
توزیع درآمد از نظر اقتصادی به دلیل آنکه سایر متغیرهای اقتصادی کلان اقتصادی به خصوص نرخ پس‌انداز، میزان سرمایه‌گذاری و تقاضای کل در بازارهای مختلف را متأثر می‌کند دارای اهمیت است و از نظر سیاسی نیز معیار کارآمدی دولت برای جلب نظر رأی‌دهندگان محسوب میگردد. هدف از این پژوهش، بررسی متغیرهای کلان اقتصادی تأثیرگذار بر روی نابرابری توزیع درآمد در دو گروه کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط و کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا، بر اساس طبقه‌بندی صندوق بین‌المللی پول است و برای این منظور از داده‌های سالانه پیچیدگی اقتصادی، بهره‌وری علمی، ریسک سیاسی، ریسک اقتصادی و ریسک مالی و دوره زمانی 2019-2000 و روش خود رگرسیون برداری تابلویی (PVAR) استفاده شده است. نتایج پژوهش نشان می‌دهد که در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا افزایش پیچیدگی اقتصادی و بهره‌وری علمی نابرابری درآمد را کاهش می‌دهد؛ درحالیکه در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط افزایش بهره‌وری علمی نابرابری درآمد را کاهش اما افزایش پیچیدگی اقتصادی نابرابری درآمد را افزایش می‌دهد. کاهش ریسک سیاسی در هر دو گروه نابرابری درآمد را کاهش می‌دهد؛ درحالیکه کاهش ریسک مالی در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا نابرابری درآمد را کاهش اما در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط نابرابری درآمد را افزایش می‌دهد. تأثیر ریسک اقتصادی نیز روی نابرابری درآمد در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه بالا ناچیز بوده درحالیکه در کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط تأثیر ریسک اقتصادی روی نابرابری درآمد بسیار قوی بوده و کاهش ریسک اقتصادی در این گروه از کشورها، نابرابری درآمد را به شدت کاهش می‌دهد
شماره‌ی مقاله: 1
واژه‌های کلیدی: پیچیدگی اقتصادی، توزیع درآمد، بهره‌وری علمی، کشورهای با درآمد سرانه متوسط و بالا، روش خود رگرسیون برداری تابلویی (PVAR)
نوع مطالعه: كاربردي |
موضوع مقاله:
رشد و توسعه و سیاست های کلان
دریافت: 1400/11/12 | پذیرش: 1401/2/2 | انتشار: 1401/8/15
دریافت: 1400/11/12 | پذیرش: 1401/2/2 | انتشار: 1401/8/15
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