Ms Akram Hedayati Dezfuli, Ms Zahra Ghassabi,
Volume 24, Issue 73 (8-2024)
Abstract
Flood is one of the most destructive natural phenomena. Every year it brings extensive losses to the country’s financial and human resources. In our country, major parts of Iran’s provinces are always at risk of flooding. The Gorgan and Atrak catchments have also become more important, as several floods have occurred in Golestan province in recent years, causing many deaths and economic losses. The purpose of this study was to investigate the synoptic and thermodynamic conditions of the March 2019 flood event in Golestan province in order to atmospheric system that lead to such floods. This study includes statistical analysis of provincial stations (Gorgan, Gonbadkavus, Aliabadkatol, Hashemabad, Kalale, Maravetape and Bandaretokman), calculating of the return period of precipitation during the available statistical period of each station, analysis of synoptic maps on the day of the flood event, the analysis of satellite images of the days involved in the flood, and calculation of instability indices of the Gorgans’s station. Statistical results showed that Gorgan and Gonbadkavus stations, with the highest amount of rainfall in March 2019, had a return period with 800 and 400 years respectively. Also the highest amount index of Gorgan with values of K=26°c, PW= 0.27 cm and TT= 48 was obtained with high relative humidity (about 80%). The analysis of the synoptic maps showed the severe sea level pressure and mid- level height drop with a deep trough in the study area, which led to extreme rainfall.
Key words: Flood, return period, Synoptic maps, instability indices, Golestan province.
Doc. Zahra Ghassabi, Doc. Hoshang Ghaemi, Mr. Ebrahim Mirzaei,
Volume 25, Issue 76 (4-2025)
Abstract
The structure of deep moist convection can be influenced by wind shear, available potential energy of convection, relative humidity and vertical distribution of each of these variables, along with other effective factors, among which wind shear plays a more important role in creating convection. Due to the large and synoptic scale processes, along with the adjustment of the available potential energy for convection and the convection inhibitor, create suitable conditions for the creation of convection. The role of the large-scale average causes the reduction of the convection inhibitor, but the vertical velocity of even a few centimeters per second can have an obvious effect on the environment sounding. Also, the presence of potential instability is usually considered an important factor in the initiation of deep moist convection. It can be seen that when the temperature reaches the critical point and the convection inhibitor is removed, moist deep convection begins. In the case that the air parcel that rises above the lower stable layer may have a low relative convective inhibition energy and a high relative free convective potential energy, which causes the support of deep moist convection. The warm air mass continues the initiation of updrafts, and the subsequent development of convection depends on parameters such as vertical wind shear and the inversion cap of the environment, among other parameters. Large-scale convective systems can be released with less forcing due to the massive rise of the air mass on the surface of the front to the level of convection.
