دوره 7، شماره 24 - ( 4-1395 )
سال7 شماره 24 صفحات 146-123 |
برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها
Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:
sharify N, hosseinzadeh R. Effect of Interregional Export on Regional Output Growth: Case study of Golestan Province and other Regional Using Two-Regional Input- Output Table. jemr 2016; 7 (24) :123-146
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-1122-fa.html
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-1122-fa.html
شریفی نورالدین، حسین زاده رمضان. اثر صادرات بین منطقه‌ای بر رشد تولید مناطق: مطالعه موردی استان گلستان و سایر مناطق با استفاده از تحلیل داده- ستانده دومنطقه‌ای. تحقیقات مدلسازی اقتصادی. 1395; 7 (24) :123-146
1- دانشگاه مازندران
2- دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان ،ra.hosseinzadeh@yahoo.com
2- دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان ،
چکیده: (6063 مشاهده)
این تحقیق در پی بررسی اثر تغییر ترکیب صادرات واسطه‌ای و میزان کل صادرات واسطه‌ای بین-منطقه‌ای بر تولید بخش‌های مختلف استان گلستان و سایر مناطق کشور بر اساس مدل داده-ستانده دو منطقه‌ای می‌باشد. برای این منظور، ابتدا جداول داده- ستانده دو منطقه‌ای برای هریک از این مناطق(استان گلستان و سایر مناطق کشور) برای سالهای 1385 و 1389 تهیه شده و سپس با استفاده از تکنیک تحلیل تجزیه ساختاری (SDA) اثرات تغییر ترکیب صادرات و میزان کل صادرات بین منطقه ای بر تغییر تولید این مناطق مورد بررسی قرار می‌گیرد. نتایج حاصل از مدل در مورد استان گلستان نشان می‌دهد که کل صادرات محصولات واسطه‌ای استان گلستان به سایر مناطق کشور در دوره مورد مطالعه 09/349 میلیارد ریال کاهش یافته است که این امر موجب کاهش 76/335 میلیارد ریال تولید کل استان شده است. همچنین تغییر ترکیب صادرات استان گلستان به سایر مناطق کشور موجب افزایش 78/9 میلیارد ریال در تولید کل استان شده است.
نوع مطالعه: كاربردي |
موضوع مقاله:
شهری و منطقه ای
دریافت: 1393/7/20 | پذیرش: 1395/4/29 | انتشار: 1395/6/29
دریافت: 1393/7/20 | پذیرش: 1395/4/29 | انتشار: 1395/6/29
فهرست منابع
1. Abrishami, h., & mohseni, R (2002). Fluctuations in oil exports and economic growth, Iranian Journal of Economic Research, 13, Pp. 1-32.
2. Akbari, M.R. & Karimi, H. (2000). The impact of exports on economic growth and capital formation, Journal of Planning and Budgeting, 52, pp. 63-84.
3. Armstrong, H. & Taylor, J. (1993). Regional Economics and Policy, Second edition, Harvester and Wheatsheaf Press.
4. Bakhshi R., & mohseni, R., jafari, S. (2012). The effect of exports on economic growth: a computational general equilibrium (CGE) model, journal of Economic development research, 8, pp. 17-40.
5. Balaguer, J. & Cantavella, M. (2004). Structural change in exports and economic growth: Co-integration and causality analysis for Spain (1961-2000).Applied Economics, 36, pp.473-477. [DOI:10.1080/00036840410001682179]
6. Balassa, B. (1985). Exports, Policy Choices, and Economic Growth in Developing Countries after the 1973 Oil Shock. Journal of Development Economics, 18, PP. 181-189. [DOI:10.1016/0304-3878(85)90004-5]
7. Baradaran shoraka, H., & Safari, S. (1998). The effect of exports on growth in sectors in Iran, Iranian journal of trade studies, 6, pp. 1-36.
8. Bazzazan, F., Mohammadi, N., (2008). Determine the strategic position of Iran's export expansion in the growth of industrial production (using input - output), Quarterly Journal of Quantitative Economics, 4, pp. 131-155.
9. Chisagui, L. (2012). Orientation, Structure, Dynamics in International Goods Trade of Romania. Export Net Contribution to the Real Growth of GDP. Procedia Economics and Finance, 3, 1069 – 1074. [DOI:10.1016/S2212-5671(12)00275-4]
10. Cui, L., Shu, Ch. & Su, X. (2009). How Much Do Exports Matter for China's Growth? China Economic Issues, 9, pp. 1-28.
11. Dietzenbacher, E. & Los, B. (1998). Structural decomposition techniques: sense and sensitivity. Economic Systems Research, 10, pp. 307–323. [DOI:10.1080/09535319800000023]
12. Dixon, R.J. & Thirwall, A.P. (1975). A model of Regional Growth Rate Differentials along Kaldorian Lines. Oxford Economic Press. [DOI:10.1093/oxfordjournals.oep.a041312]
13. Dritsaki, Ch. (2013). Causal Nexus between Economic Growth, Exports and Government Debt: The case of Greece. Procedia Economics and Finance, 5, pp. 251 – 259. [DOI:10.1016/S2212-5671(13)00031-2]
14. Fosu, A. K. (1990). Export Composition and the Impact of Exports on Economic Growth of Developing Economies. Economics Letters, 34, Pp. 67-71. [DOI:10.1016/0165-1765(90)90183-2]
15. Kaldor, N. (1964). Essays on Economic Policy, Vol. I, London: Duckworth Press.
16. Kazerooni, A.R. & Harighi, M.F. (2005). Impact of trade diversification and on economic growth in Iran, Iranian journal of trade studies, 36, pp. 29-52.
17. Komeijani, A. & Mirjalili, S.H. (2001). Mechanisms of business strategy for the development of industrial exports in Iran, Iranian journal of trade studies, 20, pp. 31-62.
18. Krugman, P. R. (1984). Import Protection as Export Promotion in Monopolistic Competition in International Trade. Oxford University Press.
19. Lancaster, K. (1980). Intra-Industry Trade under Perfect Monopolistic Competition. Journal of International Economics, 10: 151-175.
20. Los, B., Timmer, M., Vries, G. (2015) How important are exports for job growth in China? A demand side analysis, Journal of Comparative Economics, 43: 19-32.
21. Love, J. & Chandra, R. (2005).Testing export-led growth in Bangladesh in a multivariate VAR framework. Journal of Asian Economics, 15: 1155-1168.
22. Maliki. A. (2010). The effect of technological exports composition on economic growth, Iranian journal of trade studies, 56, pp. 149-176.
23. Miller, R. and Blair, P. (2009). Input–Output Analysis Foundations and Extensions, New York, Cambridge University Press.
24. Mirdal, G. (1957). Economic Theory and Underdevelopment Regions. London, Duckworth Press.
25. Miron, D. & Dima, A.M & Vasilache, S. (2010). Models of the intraregional trade influence on economic sustainable development in Romania. Commerce Contribution to Sustainable Development, 6, pp. 27-36.
26. Mojarrad, E. & Karbasi, A. (2012). Non-linear behavior in the relationship between economic growth and exports: A Case Study of Caspian littoral states, Economic researches, 3, pp. 191-210.
27. Montobbio, F. & Rampa, F. (2005).The Impact of Technology and Structural Change on Export Performance in Nine Developing Countries. World Development, 33, pp.527-547. [DOI:10.1016/j.worlddev.2005.01.001]
28. Motavasseli, M. (1999). Investigation of the relationship between exports and economic growth based on granger causality, Journal of Planning and Budgeting, 46, pp. 41-71.
29. Peroblli, F. (2004). Export and Regional Growth: A CGE Approach. www.monash.edu.au/policy/ftp/workingpaper.
30. Ram, R. (1985). Exports and Economic Growth: Some Additional Evidence. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 33, PP. 415-425. [DOI:10.1086/451468]
31. Rehner, j. Baeza, S.A. & Barton. J. (2014). Chile's resource-based export boom and its outcomes: Regional specialization, export stability and economic growth. Geoforum, Vol. 56, Pp 35-45. [DOI:10.1016/j.geoforum.2014.06.007]
32. Sala-i-Martin, X. (1997). I Just Ran Two Million Regressions. American Economic Review, 87, PP. 178–183.
33. Samadi, A.H. (2002) Export diversification and economic growth in Iran, Journal of Planning and Budgeting, No. 11-12.
34. Shakeri, A., & Maleki, A. (2010). Examining the relationship between growth of non-oil exports and economic growth in Iran (using quarterly data and the separation of two-digit ISIC codes), Journal of Economic Research and Policies, 56, pp. 5-26.
35. Sharma, S. & Dhakal, D. (1994). Casual Analyses between Exports and Economic Growth in Developing Countries. Journal of Applied Economics, 26, pp. 1145-1159. [DOI:10.1080/00036849400000112]
36. Stait, F.A. (2005). Are Exports the Engine of Economic Growth? An Application of Co integration and Causality Analysis for Egypt, 1977-2003. Economic Research Working Paper, No 76. Online at http://www.afdb.org/.
37. Tayyebi, S.K. & Emadzadeh, M. & Sheikhbahaei, A. (2008). Impact of industrial exports and of human capital on the productivity of factors of production and economic growth in OIC member countries, Journal of Quantitative Economics, 2, pp. 85-106.
38. Wooster, R. B. & Dube, S. & Banda, T. M. (2007).The Contribution of Intra-Regional and Extra-Regional Trade to Growth: Evidence from the European ::union:: (January 16). [Online] Available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=957715.
ارسال پیام به نویسنده مسئول
| بازنشر اطلاعات | |
 | این مقاله تحت شرایط Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License قابل بازنشر است. |
