Volume 10, Issue 37 (10-2019)                   jemr 2019, 10(37): 177-226 | Back to browse issues page


XML Persian Abstract Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

Sajedi M, Amini Fard A, Nunezhad M, Haghighat A. The Effect of Minimum Wage on Iran's Macroeconomic Variables in The Framework of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model. jemr 2019; 10 (37) :177-226
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-1884-en.html
1- Islamic Azad University, Shiraz Branch , m.sajedi1980@yahoo.com
2- Islamic Azad University, Shiraz Branch
Abstract:   (5298 Views)
In this paper ,in order to investigate the economic effects of the minimum wage policy on macroeconomic variables in the framework of the new Keynesian theory, a dynamic stochastic equilibrium general (DSGE) model has been simulated and estimated for an open and small oil exporter economy conforming with the structure of Iran's economy in the range from 1370 to 1395 .In the above mentioned model, nominal rigidity (wages and prices) and consumer habits are considered to be in line with the economic condition  of the country, the labor market is classified in to sectors of unskilled and skilled labor. The main purpose of this study is to find an answer determining the annual minimum wage based on the CPI mechanism, in which the economy is exposed to supply demand shocks and monetary and financial policies, impacts on the macroeconomic variables, namely GDP, inflation, employment and total wage growth. The results of the simulation and estimation of this model, which show that the simulated data torques are consistent with real-world are based data based on calibration, show that by an increase in the minimum wage can contribute to not only a rise in inflation and total wage level, but also a fall in GPD, consumption &investment in the short time.
Full-Text [PDF 9763 kb]   (2584 Downloads)    
Type of Study: بنیادی | Subject: رشد و توسعه و سیاست های کلان
Received: 2019/07/10 | Accepted: 2019/12/4 | Published: 2019/12/24

References
1. Adolfson, M., Laséen, S., Lindé, J., & Villani, M. (2007). Bayesian estimation of an open economy DSGE model with incomplete pass-through. Journal of International Economics, 72(2), 481-511. [DOI:10.1016/j.jinteco.2007.01.003]
2. Bahrami, J., Qureshi, N. (2011). Monetary Policy Analysis in the Iranian Economy in the framework of Stochastic General Equilibrium Model, Journal of Economic Modeling, 5 (13), 1-22.
3. Boeri, T. (2012). Setting the minimum wage. Labour Economics, 19(3), 281-290. [DOI:10.1016/j.labeco.2012.01.001]
4. Bondzie, E., Di Bartolomeo, G., & Fosu, G. (2014). Oil Price Fluctuations and it Impact on Economic Growth: A Dsge Approach. Available at SSRN 2729833. [DOI:10.2139/ssrn.2729833]
5. Brouillette, D., Cheung, C., GAO, D., & Gervais, O. (2017). The Impacts of Minimum Wage Increases on the Canadian Economy. Bank of Canada.
6. Calvo, G. (1983). Staggered Price setting in a Utility- Maximizing Framework. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12, 383-398. [DOI:10.1016/0304-3932(83)90060-0]
7. Castelnuovo, E.; Nisticó, S. (2010). Stock market conditions and monetary policy in a DSGE model for the US. Research Discussion Papers 11/2010, Bank of Finland. [DOI:10.2139/ssrn.1601302]
8. Cavend, Hossein. (2010). Explaining the effects of oil revenues and monetary policies in the context of a real business cycle model for an Iranian economy. Doctoral dissertation, Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran.
9. Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Economic Policy Review Office, Economic Report and Central Bank Balance Sheet, Different Years
10. Christiano, Lawrence J. Martin Eichenbaum and Charles L. Evans (2005), Nominal rigidities and the dynamic effects of a shock to monetary policy, Journal of Political Economy, vol. 113, 1- 45. [DOI:10.1086/426038]
11. Coenen, G. Erceg, C. J. Freedman, C. et al., (2012), Effects of fiscal stimulus in structural models, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 4 (1), 22-68. [DOI:10.1257/mac.4.1.22]
12. Engbom, N., & Moser, C. (2018). Earnings inequality and the minimum wage: Evidence from Brazil. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis-Opportunity and Inclusive Growth Institute Working Paper, 7, 18-50. [DOI:10.2139/ssrn.3181965]
13. Evans, M. D., & Hnatkovska, V. (2012). A method for solving general equilibrium models with incomplete markets and many financial assets. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 36(12), 1909-1930. [DOI:10.1016/j.jedc.2012.05.010]
14. Esazadeh, S And Saeidnea, P (2004), The Minimum Wage And Methods For Determining The Minimum Wage, Business Studies, No. 7, 29-22.
15. Erceg, C. J., Henderson, D. W., & Levin, A. T. (2000). Optimal monetary policy with staggered wage and price contracts. Journal of monetary Economics, 46(2), 281-313. [DOI:10.1016/S0304-3932(00)00028-3]
16. Fernández-Villaverde, J. (2010). The econometrics of DSGE models. SERIEs, 1(1-2), 3-49. [DOI:10.1007/s13209-009-0014-7]
17. Goretti, M. (2008) Wage-Price Setting in New EU Member States", IMF Working Paper, European Department, 243(8), 5-42 [DOI:10.5089/9781451871012.001]
18. Grau, N., Miranda, J., & Puentes, E. (2018). The Effects of the Minimum Wage on Employment and Wages. Santiago.
19. Aishah, S. N., & Hashim, M. (2012). Minimum Wage Policy Effects on Economic Growth (Doctoral dissertation, Universiti Utara Malaysia).
20. Heberer, E. M. (2010). The effects of a minimum wage in a DSGE model: An extension of the Benassy model. Panorama Economico, 10, 7-39.
21. Khiabani, N., Amiri, H. (2014). The Monetary and Fiscal Policies of Iran with Emphasis on the Oil Sector in the framework of DSGE Models. Journal of Economic Research, 14 (54), 133-173.
22. Kim, J. (2014). Essays on Optimal Macroeconomic Stabilization Policy for Developing Economies.
23. Kollmann, R (2001), The exchange rate in a dynamic-optimizing current account model with nominal rigidities: A quantitative investigation", Journal of International Economics, 55, 243-262. [DOI:10.1016/S0022-1996(01)00087-3]
24. Kordbache, H., Ahmadi Z., Shahabadi A. (2017). Is the effect of minimum wages on inflation in Iran is related to the macroeconomic business cycle, Journal of Economic Modeling Research, 7(26), 41-64. [DOI:10.18869/acadpub.jemr.7.26.41]
25. Lee, D., & Saez, E. (2012). Optimal minimum wage policy in competitive labor markets, Journal of Public Economics, 96(9-10), 739-749. [DOI:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2012.06.001]
26. Leeper Eric M.; ToddB. Walker; Shu-ChunS.Yang (2010), Government investment and fiscal stimulus, Journal of Monetary Economics. 57, 1000-1012. [DOI:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2010.09.002]
27. Lemos, S. (2005). Minimum wage effects on wages, employment and prices: implications for poverty alleviation in Brazil.
28. Linnemann, L.; A. Schabert (2003), Fiscal Policy in New Neoclassical Synthesis, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 35, No. 6, Part 1,911-929. [DOI:10.1353/mcb.2003.0045]
29. Lin, C., & Yun, M. S. (2016). The effects of the minimum wage on earnings inequality: Evidence from China. In Income Inequality around the World (pp. 179-212). Emerald Group Publishing Limited. [DOI:10.1108/S0147-912120160000044012]
30. Manzoor, D., Bahloo, M. (2015), Analysis of the Effects of Increasing the Minimum Wage on Employment of Simple and Skilled Labor in Iran, Computable General Equilibrium Approach, 3 (12), 69-93.
31. Manzoor, D., Taghipour, A. Kurdbacheh, h. And Tavaklian, H (2014). Designing a Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Model for the Iranian Economy for Analyzing and Predicting the Effects of Monetary and Financial Policies, Institute of Higher Education in Management and Planning
32. Maloney, W. F., & Mendez, J. N. (2001). Measuring the impact of minimum wages.
33. McGuinness, S., & Redmond, P. (2018). Estimating the effect of an increase in the minimum wage on hours worked and employment in Ireland.
34. Mehreghan, N And Rezaee, R. (2009), As The Minimum Wage Will Lead To Higher Inflation? Economic Research Journal, No. 44, 166-253.
35. Motvaseli, M., Ebrahimi, A. Shahmoradi, A. And Komijani, M. (2010). Evaluation a New Keynesian Stochastic Dynamic General Equilibrium Model for the Iranian Economy as an Oil Exporting Country. Journal of Economic Research, 10 (4), 87-116.
36. Porter, N., & Vitek, F. (2008). The impact of introducing a minimum wage on business cycle volatility: A structural analysis for Hong Kong SAR (No. 8-285). International Monetary Fund.
37. Rani, U., & Ranjbar, S. (2015). Impact of Minimum wages on wage quantiles: Evidence from developing countries. Proceedings of the Policy Dialogue on Promoting Inclusion and Reducing Disparities in the Labour Market in Brazil and India.
38. Shahmoradi, A., and Ebrahimi, A. (2010), Evaluation the Impacts of Monetary Policy on the Iranian Economy in the Stochastic General Equilibrium Model. Money and Economics Quarterly, 15 (3), 39-56.
39. Smets, F., & Wouters, R. (2003). An estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the euro area. Journal of the European economic association, 1(5), 1123-1175. [DOI:10.1162/154247603770383415]
40. Sorkin, I. (2015). Are there long-run effects of the minimum wage? Review of economic dynamics, 18(2), 306-333. [DOI:10.1016/j.red.2014.05.003]
41. Strauss, I., Isaacs, G., & Capaldo, J. (2017). The impact of minimum wage increases on the South African economy in the Global Policy Model (No. 994969993202676). International Labour Organization.
42. Thompson, J., & Chapman, J. (2006). The economic impact of local living wages. Briefing Paper. Washington, DC: Economic Policy Institute
43. Vázquez, R. M. C., Esquivel, G., & Hernández, A. S. S. (2018). The impact of the minimum wage on income and employment in Mexico. CEPAL Review, 2017(122), 189-216. [DOI:10.18356/d81adc80-en]
44. Yunculer, H. B. G., & Yunculer, C. (2016). Minimum Wage Effects on Labor Market Outcomes in Turkey (No. 1614).

Add your comments about this article : Your username or Email:
CAPTCHA

Send email to the article author


Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2024 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Journal of Economic Modeling Research

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb