Journal of Economic Modeling Research

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Productivity is one of the important factors in exploration, extraction and production of oil and gas. On the other hands, the literature indicates that the process of economic liberalization is an inventible matter and globalization gradually is improving. So it is important that the effect of oil shocks is considered In Iran. Based on International trade statistics, Shanghai’s countries is one of the most important trading partners of Iran. Therefore, this study investigates whether or not the extraction, exploration and production of oil and gas in Iran is affected by productivity shocks in industry sector of Shanghai’s countries. The Computing general equilibrium approach is used for investigating the effect of productivity shocks on four sectors in Iran (including industry, agriculture, services and oil sectors). Social Accounting Matrix Adjusted 2004 is considered for three scenarios including 3, 5 and 7 percent of productivity shocks (based on world economy trend). The results indicate that the increase in productivity in three industry sector scenarios of Shanghai’s countries declines the oil and gas extraction in these countries, representing efficient use of existing resources and superior technology in other industries as well as focus on oil and gas imports from other countries. So, productivity scenarios indicate that increase in the industrial sector productivity of Shanghai’s countries causes increase in oil and gas extraction in Iran. In addition to showing the relationship between economic of Iran and economic situation of Shanghai’s countries, this issue explains the process of economic globalization.

Keywords: Productivity Shocks, Extraction of Gas and Oil, Computable General Equilibrium Approach

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