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poorkarim R, Asakereh H, faraji A, Khosravi M. Trends analysis of changes in the number of the Mediterranean cyclones (1979-2018). Journal of Spatial Analysis Environmental Hazards 2023; 9 (4) :211-222
URL: http://jsaeh.khu.ac.ir/article-1-3231-en.html
1- university of zanjan
2- university of zanjan , asakereh@znu.ac.ir
3- University of sistan and baluchestan
Abstract:   (701 Views)
In the present study, the data of the ECMWF for a period of 1979 to 2018 was adopted to analyze the long term changes (trends) of the number of cyclones centers of the Mediterranean Sea.There are many methods (e.g. parametric and non- parametric)  for examining changes and trends in a given dataset. The linear regression method is of parametric category and the most common nonparametric method is Mann-Kendall test. By fitting the Mann-kendall model and the linear regression model, the frequency of the cyclone centers of the Mediterranean basin was evaluated in seasonal and annual time scales. Analyzing the trend of changes of the number of cyclone centers on a seasonal scale showed that the five-day duration have had a significant trend in spring, autumn and summer. Whilest on an annual scale, there was no significant trend in any of the duration. By fitting the regression model on seasonal and annual scale, one- and two-day duration have a positive regression line slop.
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Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2021/05/18 | Accepted: 2022/12/2 | Published: 2023/06/20

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