Volume 12, Issue 45 (11-2021)                   jemr 2021, 12(45): 83-122 | Back to browse issues page

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Mirzaei A, Nazemi A, Mamipour S. Modeling Valuation of Companies Based on Technology and Innovation a Case Study on Gamron Petro Industry Co.. jemr 2021; 12 (45) :83-122
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2223-en.html
1- Kharazmi University
2- Kharazmi University , nazemi@khu.ac.ir
Abstract:   (408 Views)
Achieving reality-based valuation of innovative companies is an undeniable challenge for the founders and investors of innovation. The purpose of this study is to model a logical, innovative and scalable approach to valuing innovative companies. In this way, by selecting the Earning Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) of the studied innovative company, as a state variable and simulating its future income flows based on Arithmetic Brownian Motion (ABM) standard and using the framework of Real Option Valuation (ROV) method, the valuation model was created. The accuracy and efficiency of this model was proved by extracting the data of the fiscal years from 1392 to 1395 of Gamron Petro Industry Exchange Company and comparing the results of the model with the market value of the company in Tehran Stock Exchange. On the other hand, in order to test the effect of real interest rate on the model results, by defining three different values of real interest rate, the effect of real interest rate fluctuation on the model evaluation results was investigated. Thus, the high flexibility of the model using the method of real option valuation is fully reflected in the research results.
Article number: 3
Full-Text [PDF 606 kb]   (217 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Applicable | Subject: پولی و مالی
Received: 2021/12/3 | Accepted: 2022/04/23 | Published: 2022/11/6

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