Volume 7, Issue 26 (12-2016)                   jemr 2016, 7(26): 111-139 | Back to browse issues page


XML Persian Abstract Print


Download citation:
BibTeX | RIS | EndNote | Medlars | ProCite | Reference Manager | RefWorks
Send citation to:

sadeghi batani A, souri A, eltejaei E. The Investigation of Relationship between Diversion Earnings Forecasts From Earnings Realized and Returns Stocks in Tehran Stock Exchange. jemr 2016; 7 (26) :111-139
URL: http://jemr.khu.ac.ir/article-1-1340-en.html
1- Institute for humanities and cultural studies , sadeghiabolfazl1989@gmail.com
2- univercity of tehran
3- Institute for humanities and cultural studies
Abstract:   (7950 Views)

The main purpose of this study, is to evaluate the effect of diversion earnings forecast and earnings realized on returns stocks in Tehran Stock Exchange. In fact, this research aims to examine the diversion of earnings resulting from the diversion of corporates managers forecasts earnings, what impact these diversion of earnings have on the returns of stock price. To achieve this, 194 companies listed in the Tehran Stock Exchange selected in the period of 2005-2013.
In this study, two groups of companies experienced the highest returns and lowest returns over the period studied, have been selected. Multi-factor model of Fama and French (1993) was used as the theoretical basis. The results indicate that forecasts of companies have experienced highest returns in comparison with lowest returns are more cautious and accurate than prediction of their future earnings. Changes in earnings realized and Tehran Stock Exchange index returns have positive and considerable relationship with stock returns as well, but these relationships for companies with highest returns are stronger than companies with lowest returns.

Full-Text [PDF 364 kb]   (3164 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Applicable | Subject: پولی و مالی
Received: 2015/12/26 | Accepted: 2016/11/16 | Published: 2017/03/1

References
1.  Bailey, R. E. )2005(, The Economics of Financial Markets, University of Imam Sadegh Publication.
2.  Brown Lawrence.D. (1993), "Earnings forecasting research: its implications for capital markets research", International Journal of Forecasting 9, pp295-320. [DOI:10.1016/0169-2070(93)90023-G]
3.  Beaver B. )1968(. The Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements, Empirical Research In Accounting: Journal Of Accounting Research 6,67-97.
4.  Cameron Truong. (2011), "Post-earnings announcement abnormal return in the Chinese equity market ", Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, pp 637-661.
5.  Chan, K, & Seow, G. (1996). The Association Between Stock Returns And Foreign Gaap Earnings Versus Earnings Adjusted To U.S. Gaap. Journal Of Accounting And Economics, 21, 139–158. [DOI:10.1016/0165-4101(95)00405-X]
6.  Dongwei Su. )2002(, "Stock price reactions to earnings announcements: evidence from Chinese markets" Review of Financial Economics 12, pp271–286.
7.  Damodaran, aswath, (2008), "Functional concepts and models of stock valuation."
8.  Easton & M. Zmijewski,)1989( .Cross-Sectional Variation In The Stock Market Response To The Announcement Of Accounting Earnings. Journal Of Accounting And Economics,11, 117–142.
9.  Gary L. Caton, Justin S.P. Chan, Jeremy Goh, Sheng-Yung Yang. (2011), "An analysis of Japanese earnings forecast revisions with application to seasoned equity offerings", International Review of Economics and Finance 20, 376–387. [DOI:10.1016/j.iref.2010.11.012]
10.  G. Foster. )1977(, "Quarterly Accounting Data: Time-Series Properties And Predictive-Ability Results". The Accounting Reviewvol. 52, No. 1, Pp. 1-21.
11.  Gary A. Benesh and Pamela P. Peterson.)1986(,"On the Relation Between Earnings Changes, Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Price Fluctuation", Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 42, No. 6, pp. 29-39+55.
12.  Mark Myring. )2006(, "The relationship between returns and unexpected earnings: A global analysis by accounting regimes", Journal of International Accounting, pp 92–108.
13.  Markowitz HM. )1952(, Portfolio selection. J. Finance 7(1):77–91
14.  Raymond, p. (2012), Financial Management, SAMT Publication.
15.  Ray Ball, pillip brown. )1967(, "An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers, pp 159-178.
16.  Robert H. Battalio, Richard R. Mendenhall. (2005), "Earnings expectations, investor trade size, and anomalous returns around earnings announcements, Journal of Financial Economics 77, pp 289–319.
17.  Souri, ali. )2014(, Advanced Econometrics, Farhang Shenasi Publication.
18.  Stephen, P. Baginski, John M. Hassell, Matthew M. Wieland, 2011, "An examination of the effects of management earnings forecast form and explanations on financial analyst forecast revisions", Advances in Accounting, PP 17–25.
19.  Troung, c. (2011), "Post-earnings announcement abnormal return in the Chinese equity market", Department of Accounting and Finance.
20.  Onie E. Barron, Donal Byard, Oliver Kim, )2002(, "Changes in Analysts' Information around Earnings Announceme, THEA CCOUNTINGRE VIEW Vol. 77, No. pp. 821-846.
21.  Victor Niederhoffer and Patrick J. Regan. )1972( "Earnings Changes, Analysts' Forecasts and Stock Prices", Financial Analysts Journal, Vol. 28, No. 3, pp. 65-71

Add your comments about this article : Your username or Email:
CAPTCHA

Send email to the article author


Rights and permissions
Creative Commons License This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

© 2024 CC BY-NC 4.0 | Journal of Economic Modeling Research

Designed & Developed by : Yektaweb